Saturday, January 31, 2009

How Many People Can Play Lego Star Wars

A THEORY ON THE BEHAVIOR IN THE COMPANY


A THEORY ON THE BEHAVIOR OF THE COMPANY
A Behavioral Theory of the Firm
Richard M. Cyert and James G. March


The authors make a series of reflections on how firms make decisions, which is a basis for developing a theory of decision making in the company, supplementing the study of market factors with the review of operations internal company (structure, setting objectives, expectations formation, and implementation of decisions).
The authors' research is based on 4 commitments:
Focus on a few decisions (eg, price and production)
develop business models based on their processes
Link to the extent possible business models with empirical observations Develop
a general theory, beyond the companies studied
BACKGROUND
BEHAVIORAL THEORY OF THE COMPANY
current consensus on the theory of the firm. There are three disagreements on the theory of the firm: on what that theory, how far is poor, and what are the appropriate methods for improvement. But many economists would agree that:
Assuming that the company operates in a perfectly competitive market, the generally accepted theory states that the objective of maximizing the company's net income compared at given prices and given a production function technologically. This maximization is met by determining the "mix" optimal product and factor, which is the equilibrium position.
This theory has been extended to include imperfect factor markets, or imperfect product markets, in relation to the theory of monopolistic competition and oligopoly theory.
This basic theory is considered poor. First, because the motivational and cognitive assumptions seem unrealistic:
Profit maximization is a goal or others, or is not a goal (motivational hypothesis)
The cognitive hypothesis, the classical assumption of certainty and its modern counterpart (the knowledge of the probability distribution of future events) has been questioned.
Second, this theory has little to do with today's enterprise: not talking about a complex organization, or control, or standard operating procedures, or budgets, or middle managers. Challenges to the proposal
motivational profit maximization. First, we must ask: What is the benefit for the sole purpose of business? Employers have other personal goals. Moreover, according to Papandreou, the objectives of the organization emerge from the interaction among participants, resulting in a "general preference function." As an alternative to this approach is approach of the "summum bonus." For example, Rothschild's first entrepreneur is the engine of long-term survival, or to Baumol, for which the company tries to make maximum sales, linked to a restriction of the benefit.
Second, no one questions the importance of the benefit, but the hypothesis of maximization. Gordon, Simon and Margoli propose changing satisfactory benefit, not maximum, which may change over time.
cognitive challenges to the proposal of perfect knowledge. It is not appropriate to perfect knowledge in the theory of the firm, and introducing expected value calculations for risks solves only part of the problem. Simon and others say that information is not there to get it, that the alternatives are presented sequentially, and in order to investigate the environment determines the decisions taken.
Challenges to the conventional concept of business. It has been much speculation about the importance of size in large organizations. Marshall talks about the impact of size on cost reduction and performance of the organization, regardless of organizational aspects. There are some issues that present difficulties, has been criticized
not consider the company as an organization. Papandreou sees it as a cooperative, whose executive tasks are accomplished by a "coordinator at the apex" to achieve organizational purposes rationally allocating resources. This is a substantive planning (budget) planning procedures (the system of communication and authority) and the implementation of both plans.
has criticized the way it represents the process of decision making shows that businesses are not marginal revenue equals marginal cost when deciding on production or price, but that still other "rules of thumb." For example, in USA and Britain, the price is based on the total costs and inventory turnover is what determines the level of production.
Gordon argues that there are substantial differences between the processes making business decisions, and decision-making processes in the theory of the firm with these comments:
theory should reflect how costs are used in the company's reality
The treatment of uncertainty is considerably different from that used in practice
There is a discrepancy between the theoretical time critical and real time
The executive of the company only deals with a subset of decision variables which are specified in the theory.
In defense of orthodoxy. Proponents of the theory they defend. The most prominent is Milton Friedman, who said that the role of economic theory is to formulate proposals with which to analyze the world and not playing it.
A second area of \u200b\u200bdefense has two lines. The first argues, as does Machlup, the costs and revenues are subjective, that is perceived by those who have to explain their decisions. A second is to demonstrate empirically the assumptions of the theory are valid. For example, Earley said that modern accounting techniques, such as the "direct costing" allow managers to behave as indicated by the theory of the firm. The third method
general defense of the conventional theory can be called ...

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Fuel Economy Truck Camper

PREPARING TO THE FINANCIAL CRISIS ERA

PREPARING TO THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
Dominic Barton, Roberto Newell and Gregory Wilson
The McKinsey Quarterly Journal, 2002, No. 2

the past two decades, globalization has transformed the financial markets closed under state control in free markets open to foreign investors . Thus, companies have been able to reduce its borrowing costs and investors get more benefit in relation to the risk assumed.
other hand, capital markets, freed from all obstacles, often had economic storms, especially in emerging countries.: More than 60 financial crisis, and a half times that in the 80's.
There are examples of Argentina last year, in Turkey, with the bankruptcy of one of its biggest banks, or in Sweden, where the housing crisis ushered in the red to banks and undermined the contribution of the Swedish krona .
companies, however, do not seem inclined to protect themselves from these crises, although there are many precautions that managers can take:
monitoring indicators potentially hazardous
maximizing liquidity
debt restructuring
can even go further
working on the scenario analysis
tuning methods for managing the crisis.
In these capital markets without borders, in which information and money are as versatile as sudden movements, managers can only rely on themselves to overcome the next crisis.
Stanley Fischer, the IMF, once said: "The IMF predicted, in private, 15 of the last 6 crisis. If we published our predictions, many disasters have occurred. " Thus, managers can not count the IMF forecasts without Official Securities Commissions. EXPLORING THE EARLY SIGNS
ALARM
But, on the contrary, it is possible to identify warning signs, and little time is devoted to analysis. Observers focus on macroeconomic variables such as exchange rates or fiscal deficits. Not that there are important, but they are the last to know, when it is on the brink of crisis. It is at the foot of land economy and banking system which developed the roots of evil, and where to look for early signs. There are key indicators:
KEY INDICATORS MONITORING
The destruction of value for the private sector
In every crisis, the total return on investment has been below the weighted average cost of capital, several years before the outbreak of crisis.
The ratio of interest coverage


Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Why Does Cinnion Cause Heartburn

of Unreason:



CHANGE THE ARGUMENT
· "If the change has to occur, it is gradual, continuous": this is the pretext of the traditionalists of all the times (and no one changes a lot, think the skeptic). Continuous change is a comfortable change.
· The circumstances do little comfortable maintaining the status quo:
-
wars -
technology -
demographics - the change in values \u200b\u200b
- the economy
· Those who know why the changes occur, spend less time protecting themselves themselves and fight the inevitable
· Those who realize where they are heading changes, can be used more of them
· Those who accept the changes and use them, do not face them
· We are entering the " age of unreason "in which
- the future will be made by and for us
- the only safe prediction is that there will be no safe predictions
- you think of the probable and make the unreasonable
- demographics
The three scenarios of the book:
1. The changes in our time are discontinuous
2. They are small changes in the way of working that will affect our lives more
3. The discontinuous change requires discontinuous, revolutionary thinking.
• The change is no longer what it was. Examples of the word "change":
- The change is part of life.
universal name - has been a change in the arrangements. Name
particular - has to change.
metaphysical name - Change this wheel. Transitive verb
- Where change rail links?.
metaphysical verb - is a sharp change agent. Adjective
- Change the same means "progress" that "inconsistency"
• The incremental change has become discontinuous change, which in mathematics is called "catastrophe theory" (curves that evolve in unexpected ways.) But the discontinuity is not a catastrophe, is the only way to find unexpected ways of seeing things differently.
· The Peruvian Indians, seeing the sails of the English ships, something completely unknown, thought it was a weather phenomenon and continued with their tasks. History
who likes to author:
• The frog in cold water is gradually heated, does not jump, to be boiled alive. It is so comfortable with the continuity, not realize it would require a change in behavior. History
you do not like the author:


Sunday, January 11, 2009

Wearing A Glove To Cover Skin Grafts

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Friday, January 9, 2009

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Saturday, January 3, 2009

How Do You Get Scratch Off Car Mirror

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Thursday, January 1, 2009

Why Does Cinnamon Cause Heartburn

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